Showing posts with label crisis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label crisis. Show all posts

Sunday, January 27, 2008

Logging Crisis in Washington State


In this logging controversy the protagonists are the Washington State Department of Natural Resources (DNR) and a national coalition of evenvironmental groups known as the Northwest Ecosystem Alliance (NEA).


Sense Making

Landslide risks and land use management are key issues in the Blanchard Mountain Logging Crisis. Blanchard Mountain is located on the edge of Whatcom and Skagit Counties in the northwestern corner of Washington State. Of the 4500 acres that constitute Blanchard Mountain the upper 3000 acres have not been logged for over 70 years (and never been clear cut).

NWEA seeks to preserve the upper 3000 acres. Removing these trees may significantly and increase the risk of landslides in populated areas. A landslide in this region could destroy homes, wildlife habitat, and and a vital transportation link between Whatcom County and Skagit County (Chuckanut Drive). The forest has large stands of trees that range in age from 50 to 200 years, and provide habitat for many species. It also provides an important wildlife cooridor connecting the North Cascade mountain range with the Salish Sea.

The Washington State DNR has a state mandate to log Blanchard Mountain (and other state school lands) with timber sale proceeds going to state and local (Skagit County) school districts. The NWEA contends that Blanchard Mountain represents a unique environment and that clear cutting on its steep slopes would create a landslide hazard that would threaten homes, lives, an active salmon spawning stream (Oyster Creek).

Decision Making

The DNR and the NWEA convened to negotiate a consensus agreement for the fate of Blanchard Mountain. Eventually, a compromise agreement was reached in 2007. We will model the crisis as of Spring of 2006.

Northwest Ecosystem Alliance (NEA) and the Washington State DNR have the options of negotiating or not negotiating. By not negotiating the parties run the risk of not meeting any of their objectives. Bargaining and negotiation models will be used to model the strategic interactions of the stakeholders.

References
Boin , A., t'Hart, P., Stern, E. and Sundelius, B. The Politics of Crisis Management: Public Leadership under Pressure. First edition. Cambridge University Press, 2005.

Saturday, January 19, 2008

Whaling Hostage Crisis Averted


apan has temporarily halted its whaling activities in the waters near Antarctica while officials seek to return two environmental activists to their anti-whaling vessel.

The standoff over the activists has raised the stakes between the Japanese fleet that hunts whales in southern waters for "scientific research" and environmental groups that are trying to end Japan's controversial whale hunt.

The five critical tasks of crisis leadership (sense making, decision making, meaning making, terminating, and learning) can be used to improve leadership in this crisis (Boin et al., 2005).


Sense making

"Sensemaking" helps to understand the root causes of this whaling standoff and to appraise the unfolding threat. On Tuesday Jan. 15, 2008, two members of the Sea Shepherd anti-whaling group -- Benjamin Potts, 28, of Australia and Giles Lane, 35, of Britain -- jumped from a rubber boat onto the deck of the Japanese harpoon ship Yushin Maru 2.

The founder of the Sea Shepherd, Paul Watson, claims that the two protesters were being held as "hostages" on the Japanese whaling vessel. Japan condemned the incident, accusing the activists of "piracy" and seeking to increase publicity for their cause.

In November, 2007 Japan dispatched its whaling fleet to Antarctica to kill about a thousand whales under a "scientific" whaling program that anti-whaling nations and environmental groups claim is a front for commercial whaling. In response, protest vessels have sought to disrupt Japan's whale hunt.

Australian and Japanese leaders appeared capable of creating accurate representations of the conflict. Finally, sensemaking was used by all parties to consider how the situation might unfold.


Decision making


On the evening of January 17, 2008, Australian Foreign Affairs Minister Stephen Smith resolved the three-day standoff which threatened to turn into an "international diplomatic crisis" by sending an Australian fisheries icebreaker (Oceanic Viking) to rescue the activists to their anti-whaling vessel.

The Sea Shepherd protesters Benjamin Potts and Giles Lane were returned to the environmental vessel named Steve Irwin, where they were greeted as heroes.


Meaning making

The Japanese government promised to release the two activities although it continues to reject Australian sovereignty in Antarctica and vows to continue whale harvesting. The Japanese authorities quickly provided details of how the two protesters were restrained with rope to the GPS mast of the Japanese whaling vessel.

This conflict occurred in the broader context of the Jan 15, 2008 Australian Federal Court ruling which ordered the Japanese whaling company, Kyodo Senpaku Kaisha, to restrain from killing, injuring, taking or interfering with whales in the Australian Whale Sanctuary in Antarctica. The Japanese Government rejected the ruling, as it does not recognise Australian sovereignty in the Southern Ocean. Sea Shepherd captain Paul Watson promised that the harrasment of the Japanese whalers would continue: We didn't acquiesce to any of the Japanese demands. We have got them back without any conditions and now we are going to continue harassing and chasing the Japanese fleet.


Terminating


Australia's interest in defusing the conflict was reinforced by Foreign Affairs Minister Smith who condemned any unlawful activities by the protesters. This was echoed by Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd's earlier calls for all sides to exercise maximum "calm and restraint". and seek more long term solutions to whale harvesting. As noted by Prime Minister Smith:
Prime Minister Rudd noted that Foreign Minister Stephen Smith was in constant talks with Japanese Prime Minister Yasuo Fukuda to expedite the safe return of the environmental activists . Rudd emphasized the importance of proving that Japanese harvesting activities constitute commercial rather than scientific whaling.

The key challenge is how do we bring about the end of commercial whaling, period, into the future - that's what I'm concerned about.

Japan's Chief Cabinet Secretary Nobutaka Machimura said an examination of the confrontation is currently underway:


We need to go over the facts and have relevant authorities review what happened

However, recent reports note that the environmental groups and the Japanese whalers remain at loggerheads. Anti-whaling campaigners are vowing more confrontations while the Japanese whalers are trying to force the protesters to leave the area by exhausting their fuel supplies. Neither the environemental groups nor Japanese and Australian leaders can completely control the evolution of this conflict which remains highly dangerous due to the frigid waters and remote location.


Learning

While it is too early to determine the final political and organizational lessons drawn from this whaling standoff, it appears that the conflict provides opportunities for resolving the whaling dispute in the long term. Greenpeace is currently capturing the killing of whales on film with the hope of influencing public opinion in Japan. While Japan insists that the hunt for nearly 1,000 minke and fin whales will continue in the Antarctic, Japan has previously curtailed whale harvesting due to international condemnation. For example, they abandoned the cull of 50 humpback whales after global pressure and a formal diplomatic protest by 31 nations.
The Australian Federal Police promised a full investigation although no charges have been laid.

Course Text




The Politics of Crisis Management: Public Leadership under Pressure
is the course text for "The Politics of Crisis and Disaster Management" (ESTU 400) and "Decision Analysis for Disaster Reduction and Emergency Preparedness" (ESTU 497C)



Additional text information:
Authors: A. Boin, P. Hart, E., Stern, and B. Sundelius
Publisher: Cambridge
Year: 2005